Sunday, August 9, 2009

Inflation rates of India (2009)

This post tracks inflation rates of India for the year 2009, like Inflation rates of India (2008) did for 2008. Before that, a few facts about inflation rate calculation in India.

- Inflation in India is based on Wholesale Price Index
- A set of 435 commodities are used for the WPI based inflation calculation
- The base year for WPI calculation is 1993-94
- WPI is available at the end of every week (generally Saturday), for a period of 1 year ended that day
- It has a time lag of 2 weeks (WPI for the year ended two weeks back will be available this week)

Latest Inflation Rate
- 2009 Nov - 4.78% (via)
(for 12 months ended on the given month)

Previous Inflation Rates (for 12 months ended on given date/month)
- 2009 Oct - 1.34% (via)
- 2009 Oct 17 - 1.51% (via)
- 2009 Oct 10 - 1.21% (via)
- 2009 Oct 03 - 0.92% (via)
- 2009 Sep 26 - 0.70% (via)
- 2009 Sep 19 - 0.83% (via)
- 2009 Sep 12 - 0.37% (via)
- 2009 Sep 05 - 0.12% (via)
- 2009 Aug 29 - (-0.12)% (via)
- 2009 Aug 22 - (-0.21)% (via)
- 2009 Aug 15 - (-0.95)% (via)
- 2009 Aug 08 - (-1.53)% (via)
- 2009 Aug 01 - (-1.74)% (via)
- 2009 Jul 25 - (-1.58)% (via)
- 2009 Jul 18 - (-1.54)% (via)
- 2009 Jul 11 - (-1.17)% (via)
- 2009 Jul 04 - (-1.21)% (via)
- 2009 Jun 27 - (-1.55)% (via)
- 2009 Jun 20 - (-1.30)% (via)
- 2009 Jun 13 - (-1.14)% (via)
- 2009 Jun 06 - (-1.61)% (via)
- 2009 May 30 - 0.13% (via)
- 2009 May 23 - 0.48% (via)
- 2009 May 16 - 0.61% (via)
- 2009 May 09 - 0.61% (via)
- 2009 May 02 - 0.48% (via)
- 2009 Apr 25 - 0.75% (via)
- 2009 Apr 18 - 0.57% (via)
- 2009 Apr 11 - 0.26% (via)
- 2009 Apr 04 - 0.18% (via)
- 2009 Mar 28 - 0.26% (via)
- 2009 Mar 21 - 0.31% (via)
- 2009 Mar 14 - 0.27% (via)
- 2009 Mar 07 - 0.44% (via)
- 2009 Feb 28 - 2.43% (via)
- 2009 Feb 21 - 3.03% (via)
- 2009 Feb 14 - 3.36% (via)
- 2009 Feb 7 - 3.92% (via)
- 2009 Jan 31 - 4.39% (via)
- 2009 Jan 24 - 5.07% (via)
- 2009 Jan 17 - 5.64% (via)
- 2009 Jan 10 - 5.60% (via)
- 2009 Jan 3 - 5.24% (via)

Related Articles
- Inflation rates of India (2008)
- How is WPI inflation rate calculated in India?
- Commodities and their weight-ages in WPI calculation of India
- Base year and number of commodities used for inflation calculation in India
- The magic of Inflation


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Sujith C said...

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I checked your blog. I liked it.

financemaster said...

yeah ... u r absolutyly correct.
inflation goin in negative--- a very dangerous situation ahead. check it out

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Avery said...

Very high inflation rates.
finance blogthe government needs some policies to control the inflation,otherwise,the whole thing will out of control.

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Anonymous said...

Be Careful Investors!! The market may become volatile!!

The market did as per its expectations and the risk premium well paid for! The US has signaled that it’s out of recession and with that, it may be a welcoming signal for the bull market rally, which is however, well into its 2nd quarter. As per documented and predicted by using p-valued based indicator system (vide see SSRN), the US markets did exceptionally well. The statistical and probabilistic interpretations rightly asserted the Bull Run to continue till 1st quarter. As per the finding, the variables for p-low and p-high read as; p-low=0.001 and for p-high=0.8519 respectively for April-June. This, according to the author's calculation is in line with the current trend as the finding till June 30th read as; p-low=0.001 and for p-high=0.8519 respectively (April-June). Now, according to the model, we are right into a bull phase with bubbles build up following two sessions of Bull Run (March-May and till June30th ). When the p-values of low and high are regressed again for these 3- months (July-Sep' 28th), one get for p-low=0.002 (till 28th Sep) and for p-high=0.092 respectvely. This provides important for two clues. If to go by this trend, we are right inside a bubble at mid-terminal phase. This means that if the p-values for this month ends at p-low=0.001 and p-high=0.091, then the time-series runs as; two consecutive p-low of 0.001 is highly indicative of a certain downturn, and a third one (p-low=0.001)is imminent of a crash.But according to author’s analysis, this may not be so either (go through the model). Hence, we may experience another full 3-month bull run from here, if the readings’ like this:

For p-low=0.004(<0.005) and for high, p-high=0.07(<0.10)
We may again see another bull run. However, there are certain chances of higher volatility and a downtrend for the next month, only if the p-low=0.0001 or 0.001 in absolute Terms, since, the p-low cannot stay forevr stationary at 0.001, that is, in coming months, it would increase from its base value of 0.001.And that's the begining phases of a volatile trend that might ultimately lead to a crash.


Eric Dickson said... you say p value significance, but how does it work anyhow? are statistical indicators as reliables as their technical charts?In fact, there are few so available as such, acoording to my knowledge.

Kurt said...

Eric, I find you are absolutely correct and this system is well,its amazing!! the market did fall today when i checked bloomberg site.

most of the World markets opened on a negative note, the Asian bourses are down too. offcourse it's the bumpy market reaction to the bad US unemployment rate at record 9.8% in the US, but if you check it, it seems the system exactly predicted this fundamental event also, well befor last Friday since this model predicted the downtrend as early as 29th last month..

can anyone tell me where to find this software? is it available for download?

Roy Mark said...

the links for the p-value based indicator is here..

And the model you are looking is here;

plz cut and paste the second url and you get the system...however, i was not able to find any software based on the above model. you may check at

Harsh Kapoor said...

A lot of pressure seems to have been in action over the market which has actually increased the systematic risks.

Capital a/c deficit, budget shortfall, huge public sector borrowings, govt. debt as a % of GDP, high Inflation, interest rate pressure and the US crisis.

These factors seems to have been in combined action pulling the market down, and it's not only statistical assumptions, or technical indicators that runs the market.

Anonymous said...

India's current inflation figure is not realistic as per the current echonomic situation.

Anonymous said...

plz tell what is the current inflation rate in india?

sukalyan said...

finance blog with out updates is a fake one.plz update that one its outdated.

ram said...

can anyone provide the detail info of inflated economy..

man said...

pls provide the inflation rate of 10/12/2009. pls update it its outdated which should be not there.

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V. P. Singh said...

Dear Sujith C.,
The last inflation rate posted hereinabove is for the month of Oct. 2009. Can you painstakingly provide the inflation rates from Nov. 2009 to Fob. 2010 either by posting on this blog or by e-mailing me at

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Vinod Kumar said...

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Kritesh said...

Amazing post. Great analysis. Thanks for sharing.

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Ankita Nadawani said...

Good Analysis !